It is not lost on me that the first conviction of the multi talented Muller Special Prosecutor team was of a Trump aid that claimed he had talked to the Russians, when in fact he hadn’t.
I would like to take a few moments to mention the Dunning-Kruger effect. Simplified it means the more you think you know, the less you actually know.
Simply, I am a Jack of all trades, master of none. Excepting maybe lasers. According to various aptitude tests, I am average. Therefore I typically conclude that at least half the people in the room are smarter than I. What I am is the demographic of a Trump supporter, I even wore a red ball cap long before it was a thing. So do I think I know a lot about politics? Nope, I just have observations and thoughts. I just notice that my thoughts rarely match up with mainstream media. They haven’t for as long as I can remember.
That brings me back to the Dunning Kruger effect. The self appointed experts of politics in the media seem to be excellent examples of the effect. I am looking at you Rachel Maddow, Fareed Zakaria, Sean Hannity, and Joe Scarborough. Has anyone kept a scorecard?
Although there has never been a specific reference to the Dunning Kruger effect, I have been told many many times that I do not know what I am talking about. Then again I don’t come across as knowing what I am talking about.
Yes Dunning-Kruger is a real thing. What I do not know is what to call people that believe those who define the effect? Of course when I go to look it up, I get the definition “A Trump Supporter”. Of course it is the self appointed experts saying that.
Donald Trump is a New York Liberal, he can’t help it. It is who he is. Being a non politician who wanted to get involved in politics he saw an opportunity in the Republican Party. The man is shrewd.
The presidents secret to success has been to use liberal methods to achieve a conservative agenda. To illustrate, the use of labels is a liberal attribute. Liberals have a label for everyone, and every cause. President Trump also labels everyone and everything. To a true conservative, labels are an anathema. They believe people should be treated equally, without regard to labels. Notice how the use of labels will make a conservative crazy.
Professional politicians, having been defeated by a novice non politician are naturally resentful. With those words, I am being kind. Republicans who believe they are the real conservatives are appalled that their leader has all the attributes of a Liberal Democrat. However there is no reason to believe that the president cannot be a successful conservative. It is fairly well known that he has never had a drink. However, that did not stop him from having successful wineries. How can a guy who has never had a glass of wine successfully sell wine? He hired the right people. A system that is repeatable.
So why didn’t the biggest liberal in the Republican Party run as a Democratic? Obviously he wouldn’t have succeeded. The party is truly corrupt. It is my belief that corruption in politics is what caused the Don to run. He believed that America needs fixing. If that wasn’t bad enough, It is my belief that the Democratic Party is just one goose step away from fascism. Unlike Republicans, Democrats all speak from the same playbook. Without fail. They simply do not tolerate anybody rocking the boat. So even though President Trump is a New York Liberal down to his very core. Democrats will never, never, ever agree with him.
So there you have it, both Democrats and Republicans both hate Trump. So who likes Trump? Those who do not care about labels and are results driven. For those folks, Trump is Hope and Change.
It has been a long time since Claudette Colvin was tossed in jail. Her incarceration inspired the NAACP to end segregation. NAACP secretary Rosa Parks repeated the actions of Claudette Colvin to demonstrate the injustice of the rules requiring blacks to stand on the busses in Montgomery. Meanwhile the NAACP organized a boycott of the city’s buses. The financial impact of the lack of bus fare caused the city to rethink the rules of segregation. Additionally Fred Gray and the NAACP brought brought the case before the Supreme Court and managed to have segregation ruled illegal.
I have to respect the logic and the strategy of the NAACP to make America great. For what transpired was a defining moment in the nation’s history. The use of economics along with a legal strategy helped advance what was positive change of the time.
So the NAACP has a great history. Sadly this last week the NAACP has changed. They changed their tax status so that they are now officially a lobbyist organization. I will admit that it is probably to early to tell what this means. However it seems likely that they will now fundraise for political change, or in other words. Votes for sale. There are plenty of double digit billionaires looking to effect political change.
I have to wonder what Claudette Colvin would think of the recent changes to the NAACP?
The media storm over Harvey Weinstein is quite amazing. I had thought that everyone knew that that type of behaviour was quite typical, especially in the entertainment industries. I am surprised that people actually seem ignorant of that type of behaviour exists. For about a week I wondered who the heck did he piss off. I briefly considered the Clintons, maybe they thought he did not donate enough to get Hillary elected. However Hillary’s loss was certainly not Harvey’s fault. The blame is clearly on the Russians. So I will profess ignorance of motivation for the New York Times in releasing the story that has had a Hurricanes effect on Hollywood.
Then of course there were the words of President Trump earlier on the fateful day that the Gray Lady exposed the dark side of Hollywood. Coincidence you may say of my interpretation of his words. So I will ask what do you think President Trump ment when he rather smugly said before the upcoming media storm? “Maybe it’s the calm before the storm. Could be, the calm. The calm before the storm.”
Of course old Harvey did not really piss anyone off. Even his victims knew it was just the cost of doing business. However just because something is routine and commonplace does not mean it is morally right or even legal. For some unexpected reason the story in the Times was allowed to run. Nobody was there to fix it.
Rest assured that if Hillary was in charge she would have made sure that her old buddy Harvey would not have been slandered by an uncaring press. Unfortunately for Harvey, elections do have consequences.
Big media talk is about what motivated the crazy white man in Vegas. I think that it rather obvious that he did not like country music. Now why would a rich crazy white man not like country music? That could be left to speculation, however there was a report from CNN that that country music fans are Trump supporters. Has CNN scooped the other media outlets on the motivation of the shooter?
When a news organization specialises in the creation of fake news, they are bound to get a scoop or two. I say that in my best Dick Cavett voice for I wish to offer thoughtful insights. First, and most obvious, is the methodical planning for a deadly attack on a country music festival. Why country music? I must wonder if the crazy white man listens to music. I wonder what the stations on his radios are tuned to, or what TV channels aware on the preference list. With a almost nonexistent online presence, the crazy white man must have been a passive recipient of media. I wonder if he listened to NPR? If he did they would have assured him of his intellectual superiority over those who do not. If he listened to CNN he would believe that Hillary had been unfairly robbed of the presidency by Russian thugs. If he watched the Rachel Maddow Show he would have learned how to commit villainy against the irredeemable deplorables that cost Hillary the election.
I’m not kidding about Rachel, I tuned her in after the shooting and there she was gleefully describing how to modify semiautomatic weapons into automatic weapons to effectively kill country music fans. She was doing the same thing after the Steve Scalise shooting back in June. When again did today’s nut begin planning for this horrific event?
While the brother claims no family political affiliation, he specifically specified that his brother was not a white supremacist. So is this a crime of passion or greed? The crazy white man had a girlfriend, and plenty of money. He was actually very well to do. So that alone would increase the statistical probability that he was a Hillary voter.
Two days out from the dastardly deed the media has two talking points. Gun control, aind why? Obviously, gun control would not have prevented the dastardly deed. The Crazy white man demonstrated his intellectual superiority by changing the legality of his weapons by converting them to illegal automatic weapons as clearly illustrated by Rachel Maddow on her number one cable show. As for the why, I am sure the crazy white man left plenty of explanations on why. He will surely justify his intellectual superiority to the rest of the world. The reasons will either be covered up or they will come out. I am sure those in charge of the investigation by now know, it’s just a matter of how to explain to the public. Could it be many people will not accept or believe the truth? I am guessing the truth will be controversial, otherwise it would have already been leaked.
So many victims, and they are guilty of what? Enjoying country music? Being patriotic? Just possibly, be perceived as having voting for Trump. My guess, and yes it is just a guess. The crazy white man was methodically avenging Hillary’s loss.
Mr Cavett, have you any thoughts?